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Updated 5 days ago
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
34 %
chance
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
22 outcomes- The Odyssey97 %
- La Bola Negra94 %
- Wild Horse Nine91 %
- Dune: Part Three87 %
- The Debut82 %
- Project Hail Mary80 %
- You Can See Everything71 %
- I Play Rocky68 %
- The Invite57 %
- Fjord39 %
- All of a Sudden36 %
- Obsession34 %
- Elsinore31 %
- Behemoth!21 %
- Digger20 %
- The Adventures of Cliff Booth18 %
- Michael12 %
- Avengers: Doomsday12 %
- Disclosure Day8 %
- Fatherland4 %
- The Social Reckoning4 %
- The Drama3 %
Total volume
$3.6K
24h vol.
$2.3K
1w vol.
$3.6K
1m vol.
$3.6K
Liquidity
$26.9K
Bid / Ask
33¢ / 34¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
34¢
Start date
Oct 13, 2026
End date
Mar 15, 2027
ends in 5 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 154 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 6¢Snapshot from cache
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