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Updated 5 days ago

Will "I Play Rocky" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Other

68 %

chance

▼ −3.0%1h▲ +0.0%24h

Yes 68¢No 32¢

Total volume

$76.838

Liquidity

$76.838

Bid / Ask

45¢ / 91¢

Spread 46¢

Start date

Oct 13, 2026

End date

Mar 15, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 72¢

Bids (buy)Size

16¢$2,000

15¢$2,300

14¢$2,000

10¢$21

2¢$5

1¢$78

Asks (sell)Size

88¢$2,000

89¢$2,300

90¢$2,000

94¢$9

95¢$20

98¢$7

99¢$22

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Recent trades

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