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Updated 5 days ago

Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

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31 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▼ −6.5%24h
Yes 31¢No 70¢

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

22 outcomes

Total volume

$178.48

24h vol.

$29.986

1w vol.

$178.48

1m vol.

$178.48

Liquidity

$1.1K

Bid / Ask

21¢ / 40¢

Spread 19¢

Last trade

29¢

Start date

Oct 13, 2026

End date

Mar 15, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 154 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 27¢
Bids (buy)Size
15¢$300
3¢$22
2¢$47
1¢$22
Asks (sell)Size
42¢$250
43¢$250
44¢$1,000
45¢$1,000
71¢$20
94¢$10
95¢$12
98¢$22
99¢$29

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades

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