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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
36 %
chance
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
22 outcomes- The Odyssey97 %
- La Bola Negra94 %
- Wild Horse Nine91 %
- Dune: Part Three87 %
- The Debut82 %
- Project Hail Mary80 %
- You Can See Everything71 %
- I Play Rocky68 %
- The Invite57 %
- Fjord39 %
- All of a Sudden36 %
- Obsession34 %
- Elsinore31 %
- Behemoth!21 %
- Digger20 %
- The Adventures of Cliff Booth18 %
- Michael12 %
- Avengers: Doomsday12 %
- Disclosure Day8 %
- Fatherland4 %
- The Social Reckoning4 %
- The Drama3 %
Total volume
$2.1K
24h vol.
$20
1w vol.
$173.787
1m vol.
$741.163
Liquidity
$5.8K
Bid / Ask
35¢ / 37¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
37¢
Start date
May 27, 2026
End date
Jan 21, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 113 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 35.4% resolved YES. That is 10.0 points less often than their average price of 45.4% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 26¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 37¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 63¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 63¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 62¢ | 4 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 4 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 38 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 4 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 76¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 20 |
| 4 mo. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 29 |
| 4 mo. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 29 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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