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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

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87 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▼ −1.5%24h▲ +4.0%1W
Yes 87¢No 14¢

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

22 outcomes

Total volume

$8K

24h vol.

$5.3K

1w vol.

$5.5K

1m vol.

$6.4K

Liquidity

$7.9K

Bid / Ask

85¢ / 88¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

86¢

Start date

May 27, 2026

End date

Mar 15, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
79¢$56
78¢$372
77¢$20
44¢$50
42¢$40
39¢$30
20¢$100
11¢$120
10¢$200
9¢$20
Asks (sell)Size
81¢$80
82¢$367
83¢$60
84¢$20
85¢$100
91¢$20
92¢$55
93¢$100
94¢$100
95¢$100

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 80%Sells 20%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell79¢49
1 mo. agoSell21¢19
1 mo. agoSell21¢30
1 mo. agoSell77¢4
1 mo. agoSell23¢4
1 mo. agoBuy81¢20
1 mo. agoBuy18¢3
1 mo. agoBuy19¢17
1 mo. agoSell19¢29
1 mo. agoBuy19¢3
1 mo. agoBuy19¢20
1 mo. agoSell81¢6
1 mo. agoSell75¢11
1 mo. agoSell25¢11
1 mo. agoSell23¢18
1 mo. agoBuy23¢18
1 mo. agoBuy76¢20
1 mo. agoBuy23¢2
1 mo. agoBuy24¢18
1 mo. agoBuy75¢20
1 mo. agoBuy24¢2
1 mo. agoBuy25¢18
1 mo. agoBuy75¢200
1 mo. agoBuy25¢80
1 mo. agoBuy25¢40
1 mo. agoBuy25¢20
1 mo. agoBuy25¢20
1 mo. agoBuy25¢40
1 mo. agoBuy75¢20
1 mo. agoBuy25¢20
1 mo. agoBuy72¢20
1 mo. agoBuy28¢20
1 mo. agoBuy70¢92
1 mo. agoBuy30¢14
1 mo. agoBuy30¢20
1 mo. agoBuy30¢20
1 mo. agoBuy30¢20
1 mo. agoSell70¢18
1 mo. agoSell69¢0
1 mo. agoSell31¢0
1 mo. agoBuy71¢11
1 mo. agoSell71¢11
1 mo. agoBuy72¢6
1 mo. agoBuy28¢6
1 mo. agoBuy66¢11
1 mo. agoSell66¢1
1 mo. agoSell66¢10
1 mo. agoBuy63¢9
1 mo. agoBuy37¢9
1 mo. agoBuy63¢11

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