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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
97 %
chance
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
22 outcomes- The Odyssey97 %
- La Bola Negra94 %
- Wild Horse Nine91 %
- Dune: Part Three87 %
- The Debut82 %
- Project Hail Mary80 %
- You Can See Everything71 %
- I Play Rocky68 %
- The Invite57 %
- Fjord39 %
- All of a Sudden36 %
- Obsession34 %
- Elsinore31 %
- Behemoth!21 %
- Digger20 %
- The Adventures of Cliff Booth18 %
- Michael12 %
- Avengers: Doomsday12 %
- Disclosure Day8 %
- Fatherland4 %
- The Social Reckoning4 %
- The Drama3 %
Total volume
$3.8K
24h vol.
$3.266
1w vol.
$214.636
1m vol.
$250.656
Liquidity
$27.1K
Bid / Ask
95¢ / 99¢
Spread 4¢
Last trade
99¢
Start date
May 27, 2026
End date
Mar 15, 2027
ends in 5 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 287 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 97.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 241 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 45 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 64 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 24 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 67 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 216 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 90 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 96 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 210 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 113 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 17 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 216 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 42 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 34 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 210 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 210 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 133 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 33 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 0 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 132 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 32 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 100 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 110 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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