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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

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82 %

chance

▲ +0.5%1h▼ −0.5%24h▲ +0.5%1W
Yes 82¢No 18¢

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

22 outcomes

Total volume

$3.3K

24h vol.

$28.04

1w vol.

$118.032

1m vol.

$874.285

Liquidity

$2.3K

Bid / Ask

81¢ / 83¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

83¢

Start date

Aug 26, 2026

End date

Jan 21, 2027

ends in 3 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 6¢
Bids (buy)Size
83¢$372
82¢$20
80¢$150
61¢$14
60¢$300
51¢$100
32¢$30
30¢$100
19¢$20
9¢$191
Asks (sell)Size
89¢$87
90¢$71
91¢$177
97¢$300
98¢$1,000
99¢$2,008

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 70%Sells 30%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy15¢10
1 mo. agoBuy85¢10
1 mo. agoSell10¢50
1 mo. agoSell90¢50
1 mo. agoBuy16¢50
1 mo. agoBuy84¢50
1 mo. agoBuy16¢50
1 mo. agoBuy84¢50
1 mo. agoSell11¢29
1 mo. agoSell90¢10
1 mo. agoSell89¢19
1 mo. agoBuy16¢29
1 mo. agoBuy84¢29
1 mo. agoBuy16¢29
1 mo. agoBuy84¢29
1 mo. agoBuy13¢50
1 mo. agoBuy87¢19
1 mo. agoSell13¢31
1 mo. agoBuy14¢43
1 mo. agoBuy86¢43
1 mo. agoBuy14¢37
1 mo. agoBuy86¢37
1 mo. agoSell85¢9
1 mo. agoSell15¢9
1 mo. agoSell80¢20
1 mo. agoBuy80¢19
1 mo. agoSell19¢1
1 mo. agoBuy19¢40
1 mo. agoSell19¢20
1 mo. agoBuy81¢20
1 mo. agoBuy80¢60
1 mo. agoSell80¢20
1 mo. agoBuy20¢40
1 mo. agoSell21¢1
1 mo. agoSell79¢1
1 mo. agoSell62¢40
1 mo. agoSell38¢20
1 mo. agoBuy62¢20
1 mo. agoSell68¢30
1 mo. agoBuy68¢20
1 mo. agoBuy69¢10
1 mo. agoBuy61¢5
1 mo. agoBuy39¢5
1 mo. agoBuy61¢9
1 mo. agoBuy39¢9
1 mo. agoSell61¢2
1 mo. agoBuy61¢2
1 mo. agoSell41¢1
1 mo. agoBuy41¢1
1 mo. agoBuy56¢9

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